South China 0-4 Central & Western — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.32
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
43%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.59
Over 2.5
56%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.46
No
44%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
26%
+7.3pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.5pp
43%
Away Win
51%
-8.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
35%
+8.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
65%
-8.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
64%
-8.1pp
44%
BTTS No
36%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME South China EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Central & Western EU Bookmakers 56%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
0.99/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/0.00
-5% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% /
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
300 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME South China
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Central & Western
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.05.2024 Central & Western Central & Western 2-1 HT 2-0 South China South China HK2
26.11.2023 South China South China 0-3 HT 0-0 Central & Western Central & Western HK2
02.04.2023 Central & Western Central & Western 2-1 HT 1-0 South China South China HK2
03.10.2021 South China South China 1-2 HT 1-1 Central & Western Central & Western HK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME South China
0-4
AWAY Central & Western
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH South China vs Central & Western
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Central & Western cruised past South China 4-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Central & Western as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

On the day, South China had 51% of the ball to Central & Western's 49%, shots finished 10-18.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Central & Western led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for South China and 2.25 for Central & Western.

What was the final score of South China vs Central & Western?

South China 0-4 Central & Western in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for South China vs Central & Western?

Before kick-off our model rated an Central & Western win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split South China 33%, draw 24%, Central & Western 43%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Central & Western), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Central & Western) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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