Mes Rafsanjan 0-3 Sepahan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.5
Draw
33%
3.04
Away
44%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.48
Over 2.5
35%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.27
No
57%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.09
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
5.79
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
22%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
25%
-1.9pp
33%
Draw
29%
+3.6pp
45%
Away Win
46%
-1.6pp
65%
Under 2.5
64%
+1.0pp
35%
Over 2.5
36%
-1.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.8pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mes Rafsanjan EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Sepahan EU Bookmakers 50%
-6% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +7%
0.73/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/0.90
+1% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -34%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
269 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mes Rafsanjan
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Sepahan
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
20.06.2024 Sepahan Sepahan 2-0 HT 0-2 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan IRANK
11.05.2024 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan 1-1 HT 0-1 Sepahan Sepahan IRAN
09.12.2023 Sepahan Sepahan 4-1 HT 0-0 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan IRAN
15.04.2023 Sepahan Sepahan 2-0 HT 1-0 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan IRAN
28.10.2022 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan 0-0 HT 0-0 Sepahan Sepahan IRAN
22.01.2022 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan 3-1 HT 2-1 Sepahan Sepahan IRAN
POST-MATCH Mes Rafsanjan vs Sepahan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sepahan ran out comfortable winners over Mes Rafsanjan 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sepahan as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (65%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sepahan led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Mes Rafsanjan and 1.67 for Sepahan.

What was the final score of Mes Rafsanjan vs Sepahan?

Mes Rafsanjan 0-3 Sepahan in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mes Rafsanjan vs Sepahan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sepahan win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Mes Rafsanjan 23%, draw 33%, Sepahan 45%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sepahan), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sepahan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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