Abia Warriors 2-1 Niger Tornadoes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.47
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
21%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.52
Over 2.5
49%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.75
No
54%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
64%
-8.5pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.0pp
21%
Away Win
12%
+8.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
62%
-11.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
38%
+11.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
32%
+13.4pp
54%
BTTS No
68%
-13.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Abia Warriors EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Niger Tornadoes EU Bookmakers 15%
-9% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +8%
1.32/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/2.07
-20% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +61% / -23%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
349 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Abia Warriors
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Niger Tornadoes
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
30.09.2023 Abia Warriors Abia Warriors 1-0 HT 0-0 Niger Tornadoes Niger Tornadoes NIJ
POST-MATCH Abia Warriors vs Niger Tornadoes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Abia Warriors edged past Niger Tornadoes 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Abia Warriors as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

What was the final score of Abia Warriors vs Niger Tornadoes?

Abia Warriors 2-1 Niger Tornadoes in the Nigeria NPFL on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Abia Warriors vs Niger Tornadoes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Abia Warriors win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Abia Warriors 56%, draw 24%, Niger Tornadoes 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Abia Warriors) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Abia Warriors) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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