Plateau United vs Heartland Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Plateau United v Heartland — Team-Based Signals
Plateau United vs Heartland Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Heartland
NIJ
0-0
HT 0-0
Plateau United
NIJ
3-0
HT 1-0
Heartland
NIJ
Plateau United 3-2 Heartland — Actual Match Statistics
Plateau United edged past Heartland 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Plateau United as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Plateau United had 58% of the ball to Heartland's 42%, shots finished 19-5.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Plateau United had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Plateau United and 0.25 for Heartland.
What was the final score of Plateau United vs Heartland?
Plateau United 3-2 Heartland in the Nigeria NPFL on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Plateau United vs Heartland?
Before kick-off our model rated a Plateau United win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Plateau United 60%, draw 23%, Heartland 18%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Plateau United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.