Bayelsa United 1-0 Ikorodu City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.51
Over 2.5
47%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.44
No
58%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
57%
-0.5pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.4pp
20%
Away Win
17%
+2.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
62%
-9.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
38%
+9.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
37%
+4.6pp
58%
BTTS No
63%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayelsa United EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Ikorodu City EU Bookmakers 20%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
1.60/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.65
+10% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% / -14%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
294 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 211 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Bayelsa United vs Ikorodu City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayelsa United edged past Ikorodu City 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bayelsa United as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (58%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Bayelsa United vs Ikorodu City?

Bayelsa United 1-0 Ikorodu City in the Nigeria NPFL on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayelsa United vs Ikorodu City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayelsa United win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Bayelsa United 57%, draw 24%, Ikorodu City 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayelsa United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bayelsa United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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