Barnet 2-1 Dagenham & Redbridge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 9 Jan 2024

📅09/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.9
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.23
Over 2.5
50%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.36
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals
24%
2.88
6+ Goals
11%
8.48
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.38
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
5%
13.35
X/1
16%
4.41
X/2
11%
8.24
X/X
14%
5.52
2/1
7%
21.3
2/2
9%
5.65
2/X EV+ ✗
11%
13.75
Value flag · 2/X at 13.75 — our 11% vs market 4.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-5.4pp
30%
Draw
25%
+5.4pp
26%
Away Win
26%
-0.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.6pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barnet EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Dagenham & Redbridge EU Bookmakers 30%
+2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +11%
1.98/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.22
+23% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +26%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
364 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barnet
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Dagenham & Redbridge
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.08.2023 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 1-0 HT 0-0 Barnet Barnet İBSL
29.04.2023 Barnet Barnet 0-2 HT 0-0 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İBSL
24.09.2022 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 5-4 HT 2-2 Barnet Barnet İBSL
15.04.2022 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 7-3 HT 5-0 Barnet Barnet İBSL
30.08.2021 Barnet Barnet 0-2 HT 0-2 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İBSL
01.05.2021 Barnet Barnet 0-2 HT 0-1 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barnet
2-1
AWAY Dagenham & Redbridge
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Barnet vs Dagenham & Redbridge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barnet nicked a narrow win over Dagenham & Redbridge 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Barnet as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Barnet had 60% of the ball to Dagenham & Redbridge's 40%, shots finished 9-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dagenham & Redbridge led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Barnet and 3.17 for Dagenham & Redbridge.

What was the final score of Barnet vs Dagenham & Redbridge?

Barnet 2-1 Dagenham & Redbridge in the England - National League on 09/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barnet vs Dagenham & Redbridge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barnet win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Barnet 43%, draw 30%, Dagenham & Redbridge 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barnet), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Barnet) ✓ BTTS Yes
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