Sofapaka 1-1 Bidco United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 9 Jan 2026

📅09/01/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
24%
2.77
Away
41%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
Over 2.5
32%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.44
No
59%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
10%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
24%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-1.9pp
24%
Draw
33%
-8.7pp
41%
Away Win
31%
+10.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
37%
+3.9pp
59%
BTTS No
63%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sofapaka EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Bidco United EU Bookmakers 34%
-20% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
0.82/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/0.39
-7% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +140%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
261 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sofapaka
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Bidco United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 0
21.12.2024 Bidco United Bidco United 0-2 HT 0-1 Sofapaka Sofapaka KEN
02.03.2024 Bidco United Bidco United 1-1 Sofapaka Sofapaka KEN
16.01.2022 Bidco United Bidco United 1-1 HT 1-0 Sofapaka Sofapaka KEN2
POST-MATCH Sofapaka vs Bidco United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sofapaka and Bidco United shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Bidco United at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (68%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sofapaka had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sofapaka and 0.67 for Bidco United.

What was the final score of Sofapaka vs Bidco United?

Sofapaka 1-1 Bidco United in the Kenya - Premier League on 09/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sofapaka vs Bidco United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bidco United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sofapaka 35%, draw 24%, Bidco United 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bidco United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bidco United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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