Bidco United 0-2 Sofapaka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.53
Draw
27%
2.88
Away
46%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
Over 2.5
38%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.16
No
61%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
36%
-9.2pp
27%
Draw
31%
-4.0pp
46%
Away Win
33%
+13.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.2pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bidco United EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Sofapaka EU Bookmakers 37%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
0.45/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.00
-47% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
226 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bidco United
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Sofapaka
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
02.03.2024 Bidco United Bidco United 1-1 Sofapaka Sofapaka KEN
16.01.2022 Bidco United Bidco United 1-1 HT 1-0 Sofapaka Sofapaka KEN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bidco United
0-2
AWAY Sofapaka
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bidco United vs Sofapaka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sofapaka beat Bidco United 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sofapaka as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Bidco United had 47% of the ball to Sofapaka's 53%, shots finished 16-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bidco United and 1.00 for Sofapaka.

What was the final score of Bidco United vs Sofapaka?

Bidco United 0-2 Sofapaka in the Kenya - Premier League on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bidco United vs Sofapaka?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sofapaka win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Bidco United 26%, draw 27%, Sofapaka 46%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sofapaka), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sofapaka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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