Police 1-1 Homeboyz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 21 Dec 2024

Police
1-1 HT 0-0
Homeboyz
📅21/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Kenya - Premier League – 2024/2025

Police vs Homeboyz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.0
Draw
36%
3.11
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.52
Over 2.5
32%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.29
No
62%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-7.7pp
36%
Draw
29%
+7.1pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+0.7pp
68%
Under 2.5
62%
+6.3pp
32%
Over 2.5
38%
-6.3pp
38%
BTTS Yes
40%
-1.4pp
62%
BTTS No
60%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Police v Homeboyz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Police EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Homeboyz EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.14/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.38
+16% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -44%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
269 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 416 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Police vs Homeboyz Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Police
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Homeboyz
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
26.09.2021 Homeboyz Homeboyz 1-0 HT 0-0 Police Police KEN2

Police 1-1 Homeboyz — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Police
1-1
AWAY Homeboyz
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Police vs Homeboyz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Police and Homeboyz shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 36% / 26%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (68%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.

On the day, Police had 48% of the ball to Homeboyz's 52%, shots finished 8-10.

What was the final score of Police vs Homeboyz?

Police 1-1 Homeboyz in the Kenya - Premier League on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Police vs Homeboyz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Police win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Police 38%, draw 36%, Homeboyz 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Police), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Police) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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