Mathare United 1-0 Shabana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.99
Draw
39%
2.88
Away
26%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
73%
Over 2.5
27%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
31%
2.19
No
69%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
45%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
13%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
23%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
30%
+5.2pp
39%
Draw
31%
+8.0pp
26%
Away Win
39%
-13.2pp
31%
BTTS Yes
42%
-10.2pp
69%
BTTS No
58%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mathare United EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Shabana EU Bookmakers 43%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-6% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
276 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mathare United
1-0
AWAY Shabana
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 9
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Mathare United vs Shabana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mathare United squeezed past Shabana 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 39% / 26%) promised a tight game; Mathare United found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (73%), no to both teams scoring (69%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Mathare United had 39% of the ball to Shabana's 61%, shots finished 10-17.

What was the final score of Mathare United vs Shabana?

Mathare United 1-0 Shabana in the Kenya - Premier League on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mathare United vs Shabana?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Mathare United 35%, draw 39%, Shabana 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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