Posta Rangers 1-3 Tusker — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.09
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
57%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.62
Over 2.5
48%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.16
No
59%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
36%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
17%
+2.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
56%
Away Win
58%
-1.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
58%
-5.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
42%
+5.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.6pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Posta Rangers EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Tusker EU Bookmakers 61%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -66% / -66%
0.97/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/3.00
+31% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +87% / -80%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
249 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Posta Rangers
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Tusker
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
2 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 14
10.12.2023 Tusker Tusker 0-0 HT 0-0 Posta Rangers Posta Rangers KEN
09.01.2022 Posta Rangers Posta Rangers 1-0 HT 0-0 Tusker Tusker KEN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Posta Rangers
1-3
AWAY Tusker
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Posta Rangers vs Tusker
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tusker saw off Posta Rangers 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Tusker as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Posta Rangers had 47% of the ball to Tusker's 53%, shots finished 11-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Posta Rangers had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Posta Rangers and 0.00 for Tusker.

What was the final score of Posta Rangers vs Tusker?

Posta Rangers 1-3 Tusker in the Kenya - Premier League on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Posta Rangers vs Tusker?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tusker win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Posta Rangers 19%, draw 24%, Tusker 56%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tusker) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tusker) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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