KCB Nairobi 4-3 TransMara Sugar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.05
Draw
38%
3.04
Away
33%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
72%
1.48
Over 2.5
28%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.4
No
63%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
46%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
13%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
45%
-16.3pp
38%
Draw
30%
+8.9pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+7.3pp
72%
Under 2.5
64%
+8.1pp
28%
Over 2.5
36%
-8.1pp
37%
BTTS Yes
38%
-1.0pp
63%
BTTS No
62%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KCB Nairobi EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY TransMara Sugar EU Bookmakers 29%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
0.71/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.01
-29% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
499 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 204 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
POST-MATCH KCB Nairobi vs TransMara Sugar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KCB Nairobi nicked a narrow win over TransMara Sugar 4-3. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 38% / 33% — and on the day KCB Nairobi made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (72%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of KCB Nairobi vs TransMara Sugar?

KCB Nairobi 4-3 TransMara Sugar in the Kenya - Premier League on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KCB Nairobi vs TransMara Sugar?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split KCB Nairobi 29%, draw 38%, TransMara Sugar 33%. The final score 4-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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