Bristol City vs Swansea City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Bristol City v Swansea City — Team-Based Signals
Bristol City vs Swansea City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Bristol City 0-1 Swansea City — Actual Match Statistics
Swansea City shaded a tight game against Bristol City 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Bristol City at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 48% and both teams to score at 50%, coin-flips both.
Under the surface, Bristol City had 55% of the ball to Swansea City's 45%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 1.04 to 1.85.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bristol City had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Bristol City and 1.00 for Swansea City.
Bristol City vs Swansea City Result & Final Score
Bristol City 0 - 1 Swansea City in the England - Championship on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Bristol City vs Swansea City Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Bristol City win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Bristol City 54%, draw 26%, Swansea City 20%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bristol City) went the other way.