Valencia vs Leganes Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Valencia v Leganes — Team-Based Signals
Valencia vs Leganes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Valencia
İS1
1-1
HT 1-1
Leganes
İS1
1-1
HT 0-1
Valencia
İS1
1-1
HT 0-0
Leganes
İS1
0-1
HT 0-0
Valencia
İS1
Valencia 2-0 Leganes — Actual Match Statistics
Valencia beat Leganes 2-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Valencia as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Valencia had 44% of the ball to Leganes's 56%, shots finished 19-12, expected goals 1.92 to 0.54.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Valencia and 0.67 for Leganes.
What was the final score of Valencia vs Leganes?
Valencia 2-0 Leganes in the Spain - Primera Liga on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Valencia vs Leganes?
Before kick-off our model rated a Valencia win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Valencia 48%, draw 26%, Leganes 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valencia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.