Deportivo Alaves 0-1 Getafe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 9 Feb 2025

Deportivo Alaves
0-1 HT 0-1
Getafe
📅09/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Spain - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Deportivo Alaves vs Getafe Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
27%
2.7
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.33
Over 2.5
35%
3.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.6
No
60%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
1.69
2-3 Goals
37%
1.92
4-5 Goals
20%
8.39
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.38
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
16.15
X/1
19%
4.42
X/2
9%
6.77
X/X
15%
2.93
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
16%
6.36
2/X
6%
17.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 65% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.4pp
27%
Draw
33%
-5.9pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+5.4pp
65%
Under 2.5
72%
-6.3pp
35%
Over 2.5
28%
+6.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
34%
+5.4pp
60%
BTTS No
66%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Deportivo Alaves v Getafe — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Alaves EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Getafe EU Bookmakers 29%
+5% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
1.26/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.36
-12% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +13%
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
338 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 70%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
21.0 Crosses 16.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.6

Deportivo Alaves vs Getafe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Alaves
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Getafe
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.71 xG 1.21
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
215 Passes 188
63% Pass Accuracy 63%
14 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
28.09.2024 Getafe Getafe 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
18.05.2024 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 1-0 HT 1-0 Getafe Getafe İS1
28.08.2023 Getafe Getafe 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
26.02.2022 Getafe Getafe 2-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
11.12.2021 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 1-1 HT 0-1 Getafe Getafe İS1
31.01.2021 Getafe Getafe 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1

Deportivo Alaves 0-1 Getafe — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Alaves
0-1
AWAY Getafe
1.43 xG 0.85
66% Ball Possession 34%
12 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
319 Passes 117
73% Pass Accuracy 52%
35 Box Touches 9
37 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Deportivo Alaves vs Getafe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Getafe edged past Deportivo Alaves 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Alaves at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Deportivo Alaves had 66% of the ball to Getafe's 34%, shots finished 12-4, expected goals 1.43 to 0.85 — the balance of chances actually favoured Deportivo Alaves.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Getafe led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Deportivo Alaves and 1.00 for Getafe.

What was the final score of Deportivo Alaves vs Getafe?

Deportivo Alaves 0-1 Getafe in the Spain - Primera Liga on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Alaves vs Getafe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Alaves win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Alaves 42%, draw 27%, Getafe 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Deportivo Alaves) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Alaves) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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