Getafe 2-0 Deportivo Alaves — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 28 Sep 2024

Getafe
2-0 HT 1-0
Deportivo Alaves
📅28/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Getafe vs Deportivo Alaves Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
33%
2.77
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.36
Over 2.5
38%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.4
No
55%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
1.84
2-3 Goals
41%
1.9
4-5 Goals
17%
7.73
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.74
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.45
X/1
17%
4.65
X/2
13%
5.93
X/X
16%
3.04
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
12%
5.25
2/X
11%
15.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
39%
-2.9pp
33%
Draw
33%
-0.1pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.0pp
62%
Under 2.5
70%
-7.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
30%
+7.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
38%
+7.6pp
55%
BTTS No
62%
-7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Getafe v Deportivo Alaves — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Getafe EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Alaves EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -10%
1.25/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.31
+0% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
280 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 69%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
19.7 Crosses 19.9
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.1

Getafe vs Deportivo Alaves Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Getafe
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Deportivo Alaves
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.03 xG 0.85
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
207 Passes 220
64% Pass Accuracy 62%
16 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
18.05.2024 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 1-0 HT 1-0 Getafe Getafe İS1
28.08.2023 Getafe Getafe 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
26.02.2022 Getafe Getafe 2-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
11.12.2021 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 1-1 HT 0-1 Getafe Getafe İS1
31.01.2021 Getafe Getafe 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
26.09.2020 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 0-0 HT 0-0 Getafe Getafe İS1

Getafe 2-0 Deportivo Alaves — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Getafe
2-0
AWAY Deportivo Alaves
2.21 xG 0.51
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 2
111 Passes 146
55% Pass Accuracy 57%
22 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Getafe vs Deportivo Alaves
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Getafe got the better of Deportivo Alaves 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 33% / 32%) promised a tight game; Getafe found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Getafe had 45% of the ball to Deportivo Alaves's 55%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 2.21 to 0.51.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Getafe and 0.67 for Deportivo Alaves.

What was the final score of Getafe vs Deportivo Alaves?

Getafe 2-0 Deportivo Alaves in the Spain - Primera Liga on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Getafe vs Deportivo Alaves?

Before kick-off our model rated a Getafe win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Getafe 36%, draw 33%, Deportivo Alaves 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Getafe), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Getafe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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