Real Sociedad 3-0 Valencia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 28 Sep 2024

Real Sociedad
3-0 HT 1-0
Valencia
📅28/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Real Sociedad vs Valencia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.48
Over 2.5
44%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.33
No
60%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.13
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
20%
5.96
6+ Goals
10%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.51
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
16.5
X/1
12%
3.73
X/2
7%
8.62
X/X
15%
3.68
2/1
9%
33.0
2/2
11%
8.01
2/X
5%
17.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
51%
-1.3pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.4pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+3.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
64%
-7.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
36%
+7.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
39%
+1.1pp
60%
BTTS No
61%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Real Sociedad v Valencia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Sociedad EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Valencia EU Bookmakers 23%
-6% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
1.36/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.34
-19% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +11%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
390 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 70%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
19.4 Crosses 15.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5

Real Sociedad vs Valencia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Sociedad
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Valencia
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.71 xG 0.66
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
359 Passes 264
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
15 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
16.05.2024 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 1-0 HT 1-0 Valencia Valencia İS1
27.09.2023 Valencia Valencia 0-1 HT 0-1 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
25.02.2023 Valencia Valencia 1-0 HT 1-0 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
06.11.2022 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 1-1 HT 1-1 Valencia Valencia İS1
06.02.2022 Valencia Valencia 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
21.11.2021 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 0-0 HT 0-0 Valencia Valencia İS1

Real Sociedad 3-0 Valencia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Sociedad
3-0
AWAY Valencia
3.40 xG 0.78
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
451 Passes 245
84% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 7
12 Crosses 13
POST-MATCH Real Sociedad vs Valencia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Sociedad swept aside Valencia 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Real Sociedad as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (60%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Real Sociedad had 61% of the ball to Valencia's 39%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 3.40 to 0.78.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Sociedad had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Real Sociedad and 0.33 for Valencia.

What was the final score of Real Sociedad vs Valencia?

Real Sociedad 3-0 Valencia in the Spain - Primera Liga on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Sociedad vs Valencia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Sociedad win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Real Sociedad 50%, draw 26%, Valencia 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Sociedad), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Sociedad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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