Real Sociedad 1-0 Valencia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 16 May 2024

Real Sociedad
1-0 HT 1-0
Valencia
📅16/05/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Spain - Primera Liga – 2023/2024

Real Sociedad vs Valencia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.47
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.4
No
56%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.65
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.42
6+ Goals
8%
23.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1.84
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
10%
20.35
X/1
23%
3.29
X/2
6%
13.8
X/X
11%
4.9
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
7%
12.9
2/X
6%
21.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
64%
-10.6pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.7pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+6.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
38%
+6.8pp
56%
BTTS No
62%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Real Sociedad v Valencia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Sociedad EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Valencia EU Bookmakers 16%
-3% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
1.65/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.73
-20% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -11%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
397 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 76%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
18.4 Crosses 15.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1

Real Sociedad vs Valencia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Sociedad
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Valencia
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.66 xG 0.95
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
339 Passes 249
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
15 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
27.09.2023 Valencia Valencia 0-1 HT 0-1 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
25.02.2023 Valencia Valencia 1-0 HT 1-0 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
06.11.2022 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 1-1 HT 1-1 Valencia Valencia İS1
06.02.2022 Valencia Valencia 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
21.11.2021 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 0-0 HT 0-0 Valencia Valencia İS1
11.04.2021 Valencia Valencia 2-2 HT 0-2 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1

Real Sociedad 1-0 Valencia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Sociedad
1-0
AWAY Valencia
1.28 xG 0.84
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
467 Passes 306
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 12
15 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Real Sociedad vs Valencia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Sociedad squeezed past Valencia 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Real Sociedad as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Real Sociedad had 59% of the ball to Valencia's 41%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 1.28 to 0.84.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Real Sociedad and 0.67 for Valencia.

What was the final score of Real Sociedad vs Valencia?

Real Sociedad 1-0 Valencia in the Spain - Primera Liga on 16/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Sociedad vs Valencia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Sociedad win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Real Sociedad 53%, draw 27%, Valencia 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Sociedad), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Real Sociedad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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