Almeria 0-2 Barcelona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 16 May 2024

Almeria
0-2 HT 0-1
Barcelona
📅16/05/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2023/2024

Almeria vs Barcelona Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
5.4
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
55%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.96
Over 2.5
61%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
6.91
2-3 Goals
35%
2.18
4-5 Goals
31%
2.47
6+ Goals
12%
4.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
10.3
1/2
7%
18.75
1/X
5%
18.4
X/1
7%
15.65
X/2
16%
3.84
X/X
9%
8.49
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
32%
1.6
2/X
6%
18.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
15%
+9.7pp
21%
Draw
18%
+2.4pp
55%
Away Win
67%
-12.0pp
39%
Under 2.5
30%
+9.2pp
61%
Over 2.5
70%
-9.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.6pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Almeria v Barcelona — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almeria EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Barcelona EU Bookmakers 71%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -16%
0.94/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.87/1.08
-10% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -10%
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
309 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 494 · 85%
16.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.6
17.2 Crosses 15.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5

Almeria vs Barcelona Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almeria
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Barcelona
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.01 xG 3.01
29% Ball Possession 71%
6 Total Shots 23
3 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 10
177 Passes 571
69% Pass Accuracy 90%
11 Box Touches 50
7 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
20.12.2023 Barcelona Barcelona 3-2 HT 1-1 Almeria Almeria İS1
26.02.2023 Almeria Almeria 1-0 HT 1-0 Barcelona Barcelona İS1
05.11.2022 Barcelona Barcelona 2-0 HT 0-0 Almeria Almeria İS1
08.04.2015 Barcelona Barcelona 4-0 HT 1-0 Almeria Almeria İS1
08.11.2014 Almeria Almeria 1-2 HT 1-0 Barcelona Barcelona İS1
02.03.2014 Barcelona Barcelona 4-1 HT 2-1 Almeria Almeria İS1

Almeria 0-2 Barcelona — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Almeria
0-2
AWAY Barcelona
0.92 xG 1.57
35% Ball Possession 65%
12 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
311 Passes 618
84% Pass Accuracy 90%
15 Box Touches 35
8 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Almeria vs Barcelona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona got the better of Almeria 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Barcelona as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Almeria had 35% of the ball to Barcelona's 65%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 0.92 to 1.57.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barcelona led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Almeria and 2.50 for Barcelona.

What was the final score of Almeria vs Barcelona?

Almeria 0-2 Barcelona in the Spain - Primera Liga on 16/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almeria vs Barcelona?

Before kick-off our model rated an Barcelona win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Almeria 25%, draw 21%, Barcelona 55%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barcelona) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Barcelona) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS1 More Spain - Primera Liga
16 May 2024
20:30 Las Palmas vs Real Betis Analysis →
23:00 Real Sociedad vs Valencia Analysis →