Las Palmas 2-2 Real Betis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 16 May 2024

Las Palmas
2-2 HT 1-1
Real Betis
📅16/05/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2023/2024

Las Palmas vs Real Betis Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
44%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.74
Over 2.5
40%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.87
2-3 Goals
45%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
4.06
6+ Goals
7%
19.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.87 — our 32% vs market 29.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.58
1/2
8%
28.5
1/X
8%
13.4
X/1
13%
6.2
X/2
17%
4.9
X/X
10%
4.17
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
20%
3.29
2/X
7%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
31%
-1.5pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.2pp
44%
Away Win
40%
+3.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
54%
+6.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
46%
-6.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.2pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Las Palmas v Real Betis — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Las Palmas EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Betis EU Bookmakers 45%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +27%
0.98/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.24
+4% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +33%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
306 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 80%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
18.0 Crosses 13.7
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4

Las Palmas vs Real Betis Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Las Palmas
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Real Betis
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.05 xG 1.12
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
455 Passes 330
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
26.11.2023 Real Betis Real Betis 1-0 HT 1-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS1
07.08.2019 Real Betis Real Betis 1-0 HT 1-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas HAZ
19.04.2018 Real Betis Real Betis 1-0 HT 0-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS1
03.12.2017 Las Palmas Las Palmas 1-0 HT 1-0 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
09.04.2017 Las Palmas Las Palmas 4-1 HT 1-0 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
18.11.2016 Real Betis Real Betis 2-0 HT 2-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS1

Las Palmas 2-2 Real Betis — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Las Palmas
2-2
AWAY Real Betis
2.33 xG 1.27
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
399 Passes 277
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Las Palmas vs Real Betis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Las Palmas and Real Betis couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Real Betis at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Las Palmas had 57% of the ball to Real Betis's 43%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 2.33 to 1.27.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Betis led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Las Palmas and 1.00 for Real Betis.

What was the final score of Las Palmas vs Real Betis?

Las Palmas 2-2 Real Betis in the Spain - Primera Liga on 16/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Las Palmas vs Real Betis?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Betis win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Las Palmas 30%, draw 26%, Real Betis 44%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Real Betis) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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