Ourense CF 1-0 Celta Vigo II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 9 Feb 2025

📅09/02/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.46
2-3 Goals
44%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
4.29
6+ Goals
8%
22.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
-0.4pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.4pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+1.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-3.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+3.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.6pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ourense CF EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Celta Vigo II EU Bookmakers 36%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +2%
1.02/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.01
-12% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
327 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ourense CF
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Celta Vigo II
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.11.2024 Celta Vigo II Celta Vigo II 1-0 HT 1-0 Ourense CF Ourense CF İS3
12.01.2014 Ourense CF Ourense CF 0-0 HT 0-0 Celta Vigo II Celta Vigo II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ourense CF
1-0
AWAY Celta Vigo II
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ourense CF vs Celta Vigo II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ourense CF nicked a narrow win over Celta Vigo II 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Ourense CF found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ourense CF had 45% of the ball to Celta Vigo II's 55%, shots finished 7-8.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Celta Vigo II led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Ourense CF and 0.50 for Celta Vigo II.

What was the final score of Ourense CF vs Celta Vigo II?

Ourense CF 1-0 Celta Vigo II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ourense CF vs Celta Vigo II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ourense CF win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Ourense CF 37%, draw 28%, Celta Vigo II 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ourense CF), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ourense CF) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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