Sydney (K) 1-2 Western United (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 9 Feb 2025

📅09/02/2025 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-5.4pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.9pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.6pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sydney (K) EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Western United (K) EU Bookmakers 33%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.81/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/0.98
+22% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -29%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
309 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 78%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
15.1 Crosses 22.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 0.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sydney (K)
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Western United (K)
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.98 xG 1.03
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
317 Passes 306
73% Pass Accuracy 71%
24 Box Touches 16
12 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 0
08.12.2024 Western United (K) Western United (K) 2-1 HT 0-0 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) AVUSTW
09.03.2024 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) 3-1 HT 1-0 Western United (K) Western United (K) AVUSTW
14.01.2024 Western United (K) Western United (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) AVUSTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sydney (K)
1-2
AWAY Western United (K)
0.62 xG 1.69
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
207 Passes 250
59% Pass Accuracy 64%
21 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sydney (K) vs Western United (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Western United (K) nicked a narrow win over Sydney (K) 2-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Western United (K) made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Sydney (K) had 47% of the ball to Western United (K)'s 53%, shots finished 12-17, expected goals 0.62 to 1.69.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sydney (K) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sydney (K) and 1.00 for Western United (K).

What was the final score of Sydney (K) vs Western United (K)?

Sydney (K) 1-2 Western United (K) in the Australia - W-League on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sydney (K) vs Western United (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sydney (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sydney (K) 40%, draw 26%, Western United (K) 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sydney (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sydney (K)) ✓ BTTS Yes
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AVUSTW More Australia - W-League
9 Feb 2025
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