Angers 0-2 Marsilya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 9 Feb 2025

📅09/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.65
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
52%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
2.03
Over
54%
1.76
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
56%
1.76
No
44%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
21%
3.69
2-3
39%
1.8
4-5
27%
3.11
6+
13%
10.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
8.47
1/2
10%
21.7
1/X
5%
16.5
X/1
10%
10.65
X/2
20%
4.14
X/X
7%
5.61
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
22%
2.0
2/X
11%
14.65
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.7 — our 10% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Angers The Market 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Marsilya The Market 62%
-15% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +6%
1.26/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.04/0.97
-9% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +33%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
260 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 422 · 81%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.0
17.5 Crosses 20.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Angers
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Marsilya
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.83 xG 1.86
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
314 Passes 528
83% Pass Accuracy 89%
11 Box Touches 26
9 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.10.2024 Marsilya Marsilya 1-1 HT 0-0 Angers Angers FR1
14.05.2023 Marsilya Marsilya 3-1 HT 1-1 Angers Angers FR1
30.09.2022 Angers Angers 0-3 HT 0-1 Marsilya Marsilya FR1
04.02.2022 Marsilya Marsilya 5-2 HT 2-2 Angers Angers FR1
22.09.2021 Angers Angers 0-0 HT 0-0 Marsilya Marsilya FR1
16.05.2021 Marsilya Marsilya 3-2 HT 1-0 Angers Angers FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Angers
0-2
AWAY Marsilya
0.49 xG 2.47
22% Ball Possession 78%
5 Total Shots 18
0 Shots on Target 10
1 Corners 7
176 Passes 826
72% Pass Accuracy 92%
8 Box Touches 44
7 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Angers vs Marsilya
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Marsilya took care of Angers 2-0 on their travels. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Marsilya as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: both teams to score (56%) never looked like landing.

Under the surface, Angers had 22% of the ball to Marsilya's 78%, shots finished 5-18, expected goals 0.49 to 2.47.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Marsilya led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Angers and 2.50 for Marsilya.

Angers vs Marsilya Result & Final Score

Angers 0-2 Marsilya in the France - Ligue 1 on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Angers vs Marsilya Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Marsilya win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Angers 24%, draw 24%, Marsilya 52%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marsilya) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Marsilya) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FR1 More France - Ligue 1
9 Feb 2025
17:00 Lyon vs Reims Analysis →
19:15 Auxerre vs Toulouse Analysis →
19:15 RC Strasbourg vs Montpellier Analysis →