Auxerre 2-2 Toulouse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 9 Feb 2025

Auxerre
2-2 HT 0-0
Toulouse
📅09/02/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2024/2025

Auxerre vs Toulouse Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
52%
1.74
Over
48%
1.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2.84
2-3
41%
1.74
4-5
22%
3.84
6+
10%
17.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.26
1/2
7%
29.0
1/X
11%
13.2
X/1
15%
5.99
X/2
15%
5.32
X/X
8%
4.25
2/1
8%
32.0
2/2
15%
3.54
2/X
8%
12.95
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Auxerre v Toulouse — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Auxerre The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Toulouse The Market 42%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +5%
1.76/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/0.81
+12% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +45%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
296 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 81%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
20.3 Crosses 16.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5

Auxerre vs Toulouse Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Auxerre
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Toulouse
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
0.58 xG 2.12
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
296 Passes 390
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
01.12.2024 Toulouse Toulouse 2-0 HT 2-0 Auxerre Auxerre FR1
27.05.2023 Toulouse Toulouse 1-1 HT 1-1 Auxerre Auxerre FR1
11.01.2023 Auxerre Auxerre 0-5 HT 0-3 Toulouse Toulouse FR1
19.03.2022 Auxerre Auxerre 1-2 HT 0-2 Toulouse Toulouse FR2
16.10.2021 Toulouse Toulouse 6-0 HT 3-0 Auxerre Auxerre FR2
02.02.2021 Auxerre Auxerre 3-1 HT 2-0 Toulouse Toulouse FR2

Auxerre 2-2 Toulouse — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Auxerre
2-2
AWAY Toulouse
0.90 xG 0.91
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
353 Passes 304
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 13
15 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Auxerre vs Toulouse
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Auxerre and Toulouse traded blows to a 2-2 standstill. Half-time: 0-0.

A draw from a 36% / 27% / 37% read is the model being honest — some games really are too close to call.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 48% and both teams to score at 51%.

By the numbers, possession split 54% to 46% in Auxerre's favour, shots finished 9-7, expected goals 0.90 to 0.91.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Toulouse led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.83 a game for Auxerre against 2.83 for Toulouse.

Auxerre vs Toulouse Result & Final Score

Auxerre 2-2 Toulouse in the France - Ligue 1 on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Auxerre vs Toulouse Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Toulouse win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Auxerre 36%, draw 27%, Toulouse 37%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Toulouse), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Toulouse) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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