Floriana 2-1 Marsaxlokk FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — MALTP, 9 Feb 2025

📅09/02/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
23%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.68
Over 2.5
41%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
25%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
3%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-1.9pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.6pp
23%
Away Win
25%
-2.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.1pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Floriana EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Marsaxlokk FC EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +56% / +56%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% /
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
322 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Floriana
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Marsaxlokk FC
2.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
6 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
21.10.2024 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Floriana Floriana MLTP
30.03.2024 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Floriana Floriana MLTAK
17.12.2023 Floriana Floriana 3-2 HT 0-1 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC MLTP
14.04.2023 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC 1-5 HT 0-4 Floriana Floriana MLTP
03.12.2022 Floriana Floriana 1-1 HT 0-1 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC MLTP
POST-MATCH Floriana vs Marsaxlokk FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Floriana squeezed past Marsaxlokk FC 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Floriana as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Floriana had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.40 goals for Floriana and 1.00 for Marsaxlokk FC.

What was the final score of Floriana vs Marsaxlokk FC?

Floriana 2-1 Marsaxlokk FC in the MALTP on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Floriana vs Marsaxlokk FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Floriana win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Floriana 46%, draw 31%, Marsaxlokk FC 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Floriana) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Floriana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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