Universitatea Cluj 2-2 CSMS Iaşi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 9 Feb 2025

📅09/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.37
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
20%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.24
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.29
6+ Goals
10%
12.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.24 — our 29% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
69%
-12.7pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.9pp
20%
Away Win
11%
+8.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.4pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universitatea Cluj EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY CSMS Iaşi EU Bookmakers 14%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -8%
2.38/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.41
-44% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -2%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
431 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 74%
42.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
37.5 Crosses 13.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universitatea Cluj
1W-0D-5L
AWAY CSMS Iaşi
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.45 xG 0.36
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
414 Passes 138
82% Pass Accuracy 62%
15 Box Touches 12
17 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2024 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi 1-0 HT 0-0 Universitatea Cluj Universitatea Cluj ROM
24.04.2024 Universitatea Cluj Universitatea Cluj 1-0 HT 0-0 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi ROM
28.01.2024 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi 1-0 HT 0-0 Universitatea Cluj Universitatea Cluj ROM
04.09.2023 Universitatea Cluj Universitatea Cluj 0-2 HT 0-0 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi ROM
03.09.2023 Universitatea Cluj Universitatea Cluj 0-2 HT 0-0 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi ROM
23.03.2015 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi 2-0 HT 1-0 Universitatea Cluj Universitatea Cluj ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universitatea Cluj
2-2
AWAY CSMS Iaşi
0.47 xG 1.51
64% Ball Possession 36%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
486 Passes 222
80% Pass Accuracy 66%
19 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Universitatea Cluj vs CSMS Iaşi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universitatea Cluj and CSMS Iaşi shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Universitatea Cluj at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Universitatea Cluj had 64% of the ball to CSMS Iaşi's 36%, shots finished 8-15, expected goals 0.47 to 1.51.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CSMS Iaşi led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Universitatea Cluj and 1.33 for CSMS Iaşi.

What was the final score of Universitatea Cluj vs CSMS Iaşi?

Universitatea Cluj 2-2 CSMS Iaşi in the Romania - 1st Division on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universitatea Cluj vs CSMS Iaşi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universitatea Cluj win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Universitatea Cluj 56%, draw 24%, CSMS Iaşi 20%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Universitatea Cluj) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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