Deportivo Tachira 1-0 UCV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 9 Feb 2025

📅09/02/2025 · 🕒00:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.59
Over 2.5
47%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.16
No
55%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
24%
X/2
8%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-3.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.5pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+2.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.0pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Tachira EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY UCV EU Bookmakers 22%
+5% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -5%
1.45/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/0.89
+1% / +87% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / -8%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
380 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 73%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
21.6 Crosses 18.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Tachira
2W-2D-2L
AWAY UCV
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.85 xG 0.96
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
371 Passes 176
82% Pass Accuracy 71%
14 Box Touches 13
22 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.10.2024 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira 2-0 HT 0-0 UCV UCV VEN
08.07.2024 UCV UCV 2-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VENK
05.04.2024 UCV UCV 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VEN
19.08.2023 UCV UCV 1-2 HT 1-1 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VEN
19.03.2023 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira 1-1 HT 1-1 UCV UCV VEN
29.08.2022 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira 0-0 HT 0-0 UCV UCV VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Tachira
1-0
AWAY UCV
1.33 xG 0.61
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
16 Corners 1
396 Passes 214
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
25 Box Touches 17
32 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Deportivo Tachira vs UCV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Tachira squeezed past UCV 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Deportivo Tachira as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Deportivo Tachira had 63% of the ball to UCV's 37%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 1.33 to 0.61.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Deportivo Tachira and 1.00 for UCV.

What was the final score of Deportivo Tachira vs UCV?

Deportivo Tachira 1-0 UCV in the Venezuela - Premier League on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Tachira vs UCV?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Tachira win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Tachira 50%, draw 27%, UCV 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Tachira), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Tachira) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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