Academia Puerto Cabello 1-3 Carabobo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 9 Feb 2025

📅09/02/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.13
No
54%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.5pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.1pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+0.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
+3.5pp
54%
BTTS No
57%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Carabobo EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -11%
0.89/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/0.72
+4% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +9%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
247 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 79%
15.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.9
16.4 Crosses 18.7
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Carabobo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.14 xG 1.37
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
308 Passes 234
77% Pass Accuracy 72%
19 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.07.2024 Carabobo Carabobo 2-1 HT 2-0 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
04.07.2024 Carabobo Carabobo 1-2 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VENK
21.06.2024 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 0-1 Carabobo Carabobo VENK
13.05.2024 Carabobo Carabobo 1-1 HT 0-0 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
06.05.2024 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 0-2 HT 0-1 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
03.02.2024 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 2-2 HT 1-1 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello
1-3
AWAY Carabobo
0.84 xG 2.22
51% Ball Possession 49%
2 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 4
323 Passes 287
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
8 Box Touches 15
12 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Academia Puerto Cabello vs Carabobo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carabobo got the better of Academia Puerto Cabello 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 30% / 34% — and on the day Carabobo made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Academia Puerto Cabello had 51% of the ball to Carabobo's 49%, shots finished 2-17, expected goals 0.84 to 2.22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carabobo led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Academia Puerto Cabello and 1.50 for Carabobo.

What was the final score of Academia Puerto Cabello vs Carabobo?

Academia Puerto Cabello 1-3 Carabobo in the Venezuela - Premier League on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Academia Puerto Cabello vs Carabobo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Academia Puerto Cabello win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Academia Puerto Cabello 36%, draw 30%, Carabobo 34%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Academia Puerto Cabello) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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