Hércules 1-4 Alianza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 9 Feb 2026

📅09/02/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
4.71
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
58%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.82
Over 2.5
42%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.95
No
57%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
15%
1/X
8%
X/1
6%
X/2
26%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
18%
+0.0pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.3pp
58%
Away Win
58%
-0.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
51%
+7.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
49%
-7.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.1pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hércules EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Alianza EU Bookmakers 62%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -4%
1.24/1.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/0.61
+36% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +22%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
234 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hércules
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Alianza
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
19.10.2025 Alianza Alianza 0-1 HT 0-1 Hércules Hércules ELSAL
17.08.2025 Hércules Hércules 2-5 HT 1-3 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
POST-MATCH Hércules vs Alianza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza ran out comfortable winners over Hércules 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Alianza as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hércules and 2.50 for Alianza.

What was the final score of Hércules vs Alianza?

Hércules 1-4 Alianza in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 09/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hércules vs Alianza?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alianza win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Hércules 18%, draw 24%, Alianza 58%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alianza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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