Aguila 1-0 Municipal Limeno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 9 Feb 2026

📅09/02/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
21%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
51%
+2.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
21%
Away Win
23%
-2.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.1pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aguila EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Municipal Limeno EU Bookmakers 26%
-6% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +21%
1.64/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/0.98
+19% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +30%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
375 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aguila
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Municipal Limeno
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
20.10.2025 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 1-2 HT 1-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
18.08.2025 Aguila Aguila 2-1 HT 1-0 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
04.05.2025 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 0-2 HT 0-1 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
10.03.2025 Aguila Aguila 0-2 HT 0-1 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
25.11.2024 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 0-2 HT 0-1 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
19.09.2024 Aguila Aguila 3-1 HT 1-0 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
POST-MATCH Aguila vs Municipal Limeno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aguila nicked a narrow win over Municipal Limeno 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Aguila as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aguila had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Aguila and 0.83 for Municipal Limeno.

What was the final score of Aguila vs Municipal Limeno?

Aguila 1-0 Municipal Limeno in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 09/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aguila vs Municipal Limeno?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aguila win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Aguila 54%, draw 26%, Municipal Limeno 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aguila), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aguila) ✓ Under 2.5
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