Aguila 2-1 Municipal Limeno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 18 Aug 2025

📅18/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.68
Over 2.5
39%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
57%
-7.0pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.5pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+5.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.4pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aguila EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Municipal Limeno EU Bookmakers 21%
-7% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +34%
1.70/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.04
+5% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +33%
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
371 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aguila
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Municipal Limeno
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
04.05.2025 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 0-2 HT 0-1 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
10.03.2025 Aguila Aguila 0-2 HT 0-1 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
25.11.2024 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 0-2 HT 0-1 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
19.09.2024 Aguila Aguila 3-1 HT 1-0 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
07.04.2024 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 0-1 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
29.01.2024 Aguila Aguila 1-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
POST-MATCH Aguila vs Municipal Limeno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aguila nicked a narrow win over Municipal Limeno 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Aguila as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aguila had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Aguila and 0.50 for Municipal Limeno.

What was the final score of Aguila vs Municipal Limeno?

Aguila 2-1 Municipal Limeno in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 18/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aguila vs Municipal Limeno?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aguila win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Aguila 50%, draw 26%, Municipal Limeno 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aguila) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aguila) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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