Municipal Limeno 1-2 Aguila — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 20 Oct 2025

📅20/10/2025 · 🕒00:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.32
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
46%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.74
Over 2.5
49%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+1.8pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.2pp
46%
Away Win
44%
+2.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
54%
-3.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
46%
+3.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.4pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal Limeno EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Aguila EU Bookmakers 48%
-12% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -3%
0.79/1.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/0.84
-29% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +25%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
256 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal Limeno
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Aguila
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
18.08.2025 Aguila Aguila 2-1 HT 1-0 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
04.05.2025 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 0-2 HT 0-1 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
10.03.2025 Aguila Aguila 0-2 HT 0-1 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
25.11.2024 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 0-2 HT 0-1 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
19.09.2024 Aguila Aguila 3-1 HT 1-0 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
07.04.2024 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 0-1 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
POST-MATCH Municipal Limeno vs Aguila
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aguila nicked a narrow win over Municipal Limeno 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Aguila as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aguila led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Municipal Limeno and 1.67 for Aguila.

What was the final score of Municipal Limeno vs Aguila?

Municipal Limeno 1-2 Aguila in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 20/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal Limeno vs Aguila?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aguila win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Municipal Limeno 29%, draw 25%, Aguila 46%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aguila), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aguila) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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