Fuerte San Francisco 1-4 Luis Angel Firpo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 20 Oct 2025

📅20/10/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.13
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
54%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
21%
X/X
11%
2/1
3%
2/2
27%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
21%
+3.8pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.8pp
54%
Away Win
55%
-1.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.5pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fuerte San Francisco EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Luis Angel Firpo EU Bookmakers 59%
+0% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
0.63/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.45/1.02
-36% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +82% / -19%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
246 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fuerte San Francisco
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Luis Angel Firpo
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
17.08.2025 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 3-0 HT 2-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
11.05.2025 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 1-1 HT 0-1 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
09.05.2025 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 0-0 HT 0-0 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
14.04.2025 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 0-1 HT 0-1 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
17.02.2025 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 1-0 HT 1-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
04.11.2024 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 0-2 HT 0-1 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
POST-MATCH Fuerte San Francisco vs Luis Angel Firpo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Luis Angel Firpo cruised past Fuerte San Francisco 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Luis Angel Firpo as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Luis Angel Firpo led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Fuerte San Francisco and 1.33 for Luis Angel Firpo.

What was the final score of Fuerte San Francisco vs Luis Angel Firpo?

Fuerte San Francisco 1-4 Luis Angel Firpo in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 20/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fuerte San Francisco vs Luis Angel Firpo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Luis Angel Firpo win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Fuerte San Francisco 25%, draw 21%, Luis Angel Firpo 54%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Luis Angel Firpo) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Luis Angel Firpo) ✗ BTTS No
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