Kayserispor 1-2 Kocaelispor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 9 Feb 2026

📅09/02/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
39%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.63
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
4.32
6+ Goals
9%
22.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.96
1/2
9%
29.5
1/X
8%
14.15
X/1
11%
6.48
X/2
13%
4.98
X/X
10%
4.11
2/1
10%
35.0
2/2
17%
3.31
2/X
8%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+3.2pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.8pp
39%
Away Win
40%
-0.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.4pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kayserispor EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Kocaelispor EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.28/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/0.96
-20% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +23%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
286 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 80%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
20.6 Crosses 38.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kayserispor
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Kocaelispor
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.51 xG 1.27
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
346 Passes 240
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
9 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
30.08.2025 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 1-1 HT 0-0 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
15.02.2009 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 1-2 HT 1-0 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
13.09.2008 Kayserispor Kayserispor 1-0 HT 0-0 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kayserispor
1-2
AWAY Kocaelispor
2.18 xG 1.12
57% Ball Possession 43%
20 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
342 Passes 277
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
37 Box Touches 18
40 Crosses 10
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kayserispor vs Kocaelispor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kocaelispor edged past Kayserispor 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 39% — and on the day Kocaelispor made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kayserispor had 57% of the ball to Kocaelispor's 43%, shots finished 20-10, expected goals 2.18 to 1.12 — the balance of chances actually favoured Kayserispor.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kayserispor had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kayserispor and 0.67 for Kocaelispor.

What was the final score of Kayserispor vs Kocaelispor?

Kayserispor 1-2 Kocaelispor in the Turkey - Super League on 09/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kayserispor vs Kocaelispor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kocaelispor win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Kayserispor 35%, draw 26%, Kocaelispor 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kocaelispor), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kocaelispor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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