Gaziantep FK 2-1 Kasımpaşa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 9 Feb 2026

📅09/02/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
25%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.32
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.45
6+ Goals
9%
13.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.32 — our 31% vs market 24.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.02
1/2
6%
33.5
1/X
8%
12.85
X/1
19%
5.05
X/2
6%
6.98
X/X
11%
4.72
2/1
10%
25.5
2/2
12%
4.97
2/X
6%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
44%
+6.0pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.8pp
25%
Away Win
29%
-4.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.9pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gaziantep FK EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Kasımpaşa EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -18%
1.49/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.62
-1% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
322 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 80%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
20.0 Crosses 21.2
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gaziantep FK
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Kasımpaşa
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.74 xG 1.66
40% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
220 Passes 358
71% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 28
13 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 3
30.08.2025 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 2-3 HT 0-2 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
24.05.2025 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 2-2 HT 2-0 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
05.01.2025 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 2-2 HT 2-1 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
21.04.2024 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 2-0 HT 2-0 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
03.12.2023 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 4-2 HT 3-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
01.10.2022 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 1-0 HT 0-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gaziantep FK
2-1
AWAY Kasımpaşa
0.99 xG 0.62
46% Ball Possession 54%
4 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 7
265 Passes 300
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 18
3 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gaziantep FK vs Kasımpaşa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gaziantep FK nicked a narrow win over Kasımpaşa 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Gaziantep FK as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Gaziantep FK had 46% of the ball to Kasımpaşa's 54%, shots finished 4-9, expected goals 0.99 to 0.62.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Gaziantep FK and 1.83 for Kasımpaşa.

What was the final score of Gaziantep FK vs Kasımpaşa?

Gaziantep FK 2-1 Kasımpaşa in the Turkey - Super League on 09/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gaziantep FK vs Kasımpaşa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gaziantep FK win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Gaziantep FK 50%, draw 25%, Kasımpaşa 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gaziantep FK) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gaziantep FK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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