Kasımpaşa 2-3 Gaziantep FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.05
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
28%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.97
Over 2.5
56%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.68
No
42%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.43
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
25%
3.22
6+ Goals
13%
11.55
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.22 — our 25% vs market 24.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.94
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
8%
13.2
X/1
14%
4.88
X/2
12%
6.56
X/X
10%
5.01
2/1
6%
23.65
2/2
9%
4.63
2/X
6%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
44%
+4.7pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.3pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-2.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
47%
-2.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
53%
+2.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+2.6pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kasımpaşa EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Gaziantep FK EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -6%
1.60/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.52
+10% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 80%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
23.0 Crosses 13.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kasımpaşa
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Gaziantep FK
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.61 xG 1.61
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
372 Passes 240
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
28 Box Touches 20
25 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
24.05.2025 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 2-2 HT 2-0 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
05.01.2025 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 2-2 HT 2-1 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
21.04.2024 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 2-0 HT 2-0 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
03.12.2023 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 4-2 HT 3-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
01.10.2022 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 1-0 HT 0-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
03.04.2022 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 2-1 HT 1-1 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kasımpaşa
2-3
AWAY Gaziantep FK
2.45 xG 1.18
61% Ball Possession 39%
20 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
386 Passes 210
87% Pass Accuracy 70%
29 Box Touches 13
43 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Kasımpaşa vs Gaziantep FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gaziantep FK squeezed past Kasımpaşa 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Kasımpaşa at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Kasımpaşa had 61% of the ball to Gaziantep FK's 39%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 2.45 to 1.18 — the balance of chances actually favoured Kasımpaşa.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kasımpaşa had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Kasımpaşa and 1.50 for Gaziantep FK.

What was the final score of Kasımpaşa vs Gaziantep FK?

Kasımpaşa 2-3 Gaziantep FK in the Turkey - Super League on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kasımpaşa vs Gaziantep FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kasımpaşa win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Kasımpaşa 49%, draw 23%, Gaziantep FK 28%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kasımpaşa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kasımpaşa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TSL More Turkey - Super League
30 Aug 2025
19:00 Kocaelispor vs Kayserispor Analysis →
21:30 Antalyaspor vs Fatih Karagümrük Analysis →
21:30 Galatasaray vs Çaykur Rizespor Analysis →