Gaziantep FK 2-2 Kasımpaşa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 24 May 2025

📅24/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
35%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.41
No
44%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.8
2-3 Goals
39%
1.94
4-5 Goals
26%
2.75
6+ Goals
12%
7.18
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.73
1/2
8%
23.75
1/X
11%
12.5
X/1
12%
6.3
X/2
13%
5.94
X/X
9%
5.68
2/1
6%
24.65
2/2
14%
3.41
2/X
10%
12.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
-0.4pp
30%
Draw
24%
+5.8pp
35%
Away Win
40%
-5.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
67%
-10.7pp
44%
BTTS No
33%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gaziantep FK EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Kasımpaşa EU Bookmakers 45%
+12% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -12%
1.34/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.29
+11% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +4%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
272 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 80%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
17.6 Crosses 24.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gaziantep FK
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Kasımpaşa
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.41 xG 1.62
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
252 Passes 371
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.01.2025 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 2-2 HT 2-1 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
21.04.2024 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 2-0 HT 2-0 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
03.12.2023 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 4-2 HT 3-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
01.10.2022 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 1-0 HT 0-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
03.04.2022 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 2-1 HT 1-1 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
08.02.2022 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 1-2 HT 1-1 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TÜK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gaziantep FK
2-2
AWAY Kasımpaşa
2.59 xG 1.55
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
184 Passes 378
74% Pass Accuracy 86%
29 Box Touches 27
12 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Gaziantep FK vs Kasımpaşa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gaziantep FK and Kasımpaşa shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 30% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Gaziantep FK had 36% of the ball to Kasımpaşa's 64%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 2.59 to 1.55.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kasımpaşa led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Gaziantep FK and 1.67 for Kasımpaşa.

What was the final score of Gaziantep FK vs Kasımpaşa?

Gaziantep FK 2-2 Kasımpaşa in the Turkey - Super League on 24/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gaziantep FK vs Kasımpaşa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gaziantep FK win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Gaziantep FK 35%, draw 30%, Kasımpaşa 35%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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