Gaziantep FK 2-0 Kasımpaşa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 21 Apr 2024

Gaziantep FK
2-0 HT 2-0
Kasımpaşa
📅21/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2023/2024

Gaziantep FK vs Kasımpaşa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
38%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.86
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
25%
3.18
6+ Goals
10%
10.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.86 — our 25% vs market 20.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.67
1/2
11%
27.0
1/X
8%
12.4
X/1
16%
5.78
X/2
14%
5.69
X/X
12%
4.84
2/1
5%
27.5
2/2
14%
3.59
2/X
5%
12.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.6pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.3pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+1.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.1pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gaziantep FK v Kasımpaşa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gaziantep FK EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Kasımpaşa EU Bookmakers 40%
+7% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
1.39/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.62
+14% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -6%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
290 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 81%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
19.2 Crosses 20.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3

Gaziantep FK vs Kasımpaşa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gaziantep FK
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Kasımpaşa
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.66 xG 1.69
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
300 Passes 329
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.12.2023 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 4-2 HT 3-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
01.10.2022 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 1-0 HT 0-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
03.04.2022 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 2-1 HT 1-1 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
08.02.2022 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 1-2 HT 1-1 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TÜK
05.11.2021 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 2-0 HT 1-0 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
18.04.2021 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 2-2 HT 0-1 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL

Gaziantep FK 2-0 Kasımpaşa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gaziantep FK
2-0
AWAY Kasımpaşa
0.88 xG 1.02
30% Ball Possession 70%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 8
144 Passes 427
61% Pass Accuracy 82%
10 Box Touches 20
6 Crosses 34
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gaziantep FK vs Kasımpaşa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gaziantep FK got the better of Kasımpaşa 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 38% — and on the day Gaziantep FK made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Gaziantep FK had 30% of the ball to Kasımpaşa's 70%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 0.88 to 1.02.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kasımpaşa led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Gaziantep FK and 1.67 for Kasımpaşa.

What was the final score of Gaziantep FK vs Kasımpaşa?

Gaziantep FK 2-0 Kasımpaşa in the Turkey - Super League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gaziantep FK vs Kasımpaşa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kasımpaşa win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Gaziantep FK 36%, draw 26%, Kasımpaşa 38%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kasımpaşa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kasımpaşa) ✓ Under 2.5
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