Başakşehir FK 2-0 Çaykur Rizespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 21 Apr 2024

Başakşehir FK
2-0 HT 1-0
Çaykur Rizespor
📅21/04/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2023/2024

Başakşehir FK vs Çaykur Rizespor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.6
No
52%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
4.06
2-3 Goals
35%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.09
6+ Goals
11%
9.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.06 — our 31% vs market 19.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.89
1/2
5%
31.5
1/X
7%
12.45
X/1
19%
4.97
X/2 EV+ ✗
16%
6.92
X/X
13%
5.01
2/1
6%
24.0
2/2
9%
4.61
2/X
5%
12.75
Value flag · X/2 at 6.92 — our 16% vs market 10.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+0.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.9pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Başakşehir FK v Çaykur Rizespor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Başakşehir FK EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor EU Bookmakers 33%
+4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -20%
1.46/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.67
+1% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -21%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
367 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 80%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
17.9 Crosses 18.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.6

Başakşehir FK vs Çaykur Rizespor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Başakşehir FK
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.99 xG 1.37
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
471 Passes 308
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
27 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
02.12.2023 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 3-2 HT 2-2 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
18.02.2022 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 0-2 HT 0-1 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
26.09.2021 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 3-0 HT 1-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
15.05.2021 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 0-2 HT 0-2 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
23.01.2021 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 1-1 HT 0-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
24.02.2020 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 1-2 HT 0-1 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL

Başakşehir FK 2-0 Çaykur Rizespor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Başakşehir FK
2-0
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor
1.93 xG 0.76
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 4
364 Passes 360
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 18
6 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Başakşehir FK vs Çaykur Rizespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Başakşehir FK saw off Çaykur Rizespor 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Başakşehir FK as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Başakşehir FK had 50% of the ball to Çaykur Rizespor's 50%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 1.93 to 0.76.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Başakşehir FK had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Başakşehir FK and 0.83 for Çaykur Rizespor.

What was the final score of Başakşehir FK vs Çaykur Rizespor?

Başakşehir FK 2-0 Çaykur Rizespor in the Turkey - Super League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Başakşehir FK vs Çaykur Rizespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Başakşehir FK win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Başakşehir FK 45%, draw 25%, Çaykur Rizespor 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Başakşehir FK), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Başakşehir FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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