Galatasaray 4-1 Pendikspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.29
Draw
19%
5.28
Away
16%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
3.17
Over 2.5
58%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
8.35
2-3 Goals
37%
2.35
4-5 Goals
27%
2.38
6+ Goals
15%
4.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.41
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
8%
22.7
X/1
22%
3.77
X/2
8%
22.3
X/X
7%
10.4
2/1
8%
18.85
2/2
4%
14.35
2/X
4%
21.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
73%
-8.2pp
19%
Draw
16%
+3.2pp
16%
Away Win
11%
+5.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
28%
+13.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
72%
-13.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.9pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Galatasaray EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Pendikspor EU Bookmakers 14%
+3% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
2.40/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.91
+10% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -13%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
431 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 76%
34.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
24.3 Crosses 17.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Galatasaray
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Pendikspor
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.51 xG 0.46
71% Ball Possession 29%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 2
539 Passes 151
88% Pass Accuracy 64%
34 Box Touches 10
29 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.12.2023 Pendikspor Pendikspor 0-2 HT 0-0 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Galatasaray
4-1
AWAY Pendikspor
2.84 xG 0.97
54% Ball Possession 46%
20 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
349 Passes 266
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
41 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Galatasaray vs Pendikspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Galatasaray ran out comfortable winners over Pendikspor 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Galatasaray as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Galatasaray had 54% of the ball to Pendikspor's 46%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 2.84 to 0.97.

What was the final score of Galatasaray vs Pendikspor?

Galatasaray 4-1 Pendikspor in the Turkey - Super League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Galatasaray vs Pendikspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Galatasaray win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Galatasaray 65%, draw 19%, Pendikspor 16%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Galatasaray), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Galatasaray) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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