Fenerbahçe 3-1 Gençlerbirliği — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 9 Feb 2026

📅09/02/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
76%
1.3
Draw
15%
4.95
Away
9%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.33
Over 2.5
60%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.64
2-3 Goals
40%
1.92
4-5 Goals
25%
2.79
6+ Goals
15%
7.57
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
45%
1.51
1/2
3%
35.0
1/X
4%
21.2
X/1
19%
3.84
X/2
3%
19.05
X/X
4%
7.97
2/1
13%
22.25
2/2
3%
16.4
2/X
6%
24.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
76%
Home Win
72%
+3.7pp
15%
Draw
17%
-2.4pp
9%
Away Win
11%
-1.2pp
40%
Under 2.5
39%
+1.1pp
60%
Over 2.5
61%
-1.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.5pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fenerbahçe EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Gençlerbirliği EU Bookmakers 14%
-2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
2.41/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/2.05
+13% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +22%
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
462 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 73%
34.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
24.0 Crosses 13.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fenerbahçe
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Gençlerbirliği
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.48 xG 1.36
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
441 Passes 247
83% Pass Accuracy 73%
28 Box Touches 12
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
31.08.2025 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 1-3 HT 0-3 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
14.03.2021 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 1-2 HT 1-1 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği TSL
21.11.2020 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 1-5 HT 1-2 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
07.07.2020 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 1-1 HT 0-0 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
06.12.2019 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 5-2 HT 3-1 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği TSL
03.02.2018 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 2-2 HT 0-1 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fenerbahçe
3-1
AWAY Gençlerbirliği
2.17 xG 0.93
63% Ball Possession 37%
19 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 9
419 Passes 199
86% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 14
13 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fenerbahçe vs Gençlerbirliği
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fenerbahçe got the better of Gençlerbirliği 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Fenerbahçe as the likeliest winner at 76%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Fenerbahçe had 63% of the ball to Gençlerbirliği's 37%, shots finished 19-13, expected goals 2.17 to 0.93.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fenerbahçe had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Fenerbahçe and 1.50 for Gençlerbirliği.

What was the final score of Fenerbahçe vs Gençlerbirliği?

Fenerbahçe 3-1 Gençlerbirliği in the Turkey - Super League on 09/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fenerbahçe vs Gençlerbirliği?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fenerbahçe win the most likely single outcome at about 76%, with the full match-result split Fenerbahçe 76%, draw 15%, Gençlerbirliği 9%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fenerbahçe), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fenerbahçe) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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