Chesterfield 4-1 AFC Fylde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.45
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
26%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.89
Over 2.5
63%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.55
No
44%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
6.48
2-3 Goals
38%
2.13
4-5 Goals
28%
2.51
6+ Goals
15%
5.26
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.74
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
4%
16.85
X/1
15%
3.96
X/2
7%
13.05
X/X
11%
7.74
2/1
8%
18.75
2/2
14%
8.52
2/X
7%
16.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
64%
-12.7pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.4pp
26%
Away Win
16%
+9.5pp
37%
Under 2.5
31%
+6.0pp
63%
Over 2.5
69%
-6.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.5pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chesterfield EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Fylde EU Bookmakers 20%
-1% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +7%
2.27/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.54
+25% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / +14%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
418 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chesterfield
4W-2D-0L
AWAY AFC Fylde
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 5
12.08.2023 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 2-4 HT 0-3 Chesterfield Chesterfield İBSL
25.01.2020 Chesterfield Chesterfield 1-1 HT 1-0 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İBSL
08.10.2019 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 1-3 HT 0-0 Chesterfield Chesterfield İBSL
16.02.2019 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 0-1 HT 0-1 Chesterfield Chesterfield İBSL
20.10.2018 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 1-3 HT 1-2 Chesterfield Chesterfield FAK
06.10.2018 Chesterfield Chesterfield 0-0 HT 0-0 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chesterfield
4-1
AWAY AFC Fylde
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Chesterfield vs AFC Fylde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chesterfield swept aside AFC Fylde 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Chesterfield as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Chesterfield had 57% of the ball to AFC Fylde's 43%, shots finished 10-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chesterfield had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Chesterfield and 0.83 for AFC Fylde.

What was the final score of Chesterfield vs AFC Fylde?

Chesterfield 4-1 AFC Fylde in the England - National League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chesterfield vs AFC Fylde?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chesterfield win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Chesterfield 52%, draw 22%, AFC Fylde 26%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chesterfield), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chesterfield) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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