Southend United 1-1 Dagenham & Redbridge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
31%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.03
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.86
6+ Goals
10%
17.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.55
1/2
11%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.6
X/1
21%
4.12
X/2
8%
7.71
X/X
10%
4.67
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
12%
6.08
2/X
9%
15.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
50%
-7.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+6.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.8pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Southend United EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Dagenham & Redbridge EU Bookmakers 28%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +8%
2.05/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.28
+27% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +21%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
373 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Southend United
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Dagenham & Redbridge
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
12.08.2023 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 0-2 HT 0-1 Southend United Southend United İBSL
15.04.2023 Southend United Southend United 2-0 HT 0-0 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İBSL
08.10.2022 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 1-1 HT 1-0 Southend United Southend United İBSL
15.03.2022 Southend United Southend United 0-3 HT 0-2 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İBSL
15.01.2022 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 2-0 HT 0-0 Southend United Southend United FAK
23.10.2021 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 3-0 HT 0-0 Southend United Southend United İBSL
POST-MATCH Southend United vs Dagenham & Redbridge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Southend United and Dagenham & Redbridge couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Southend United at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dagenham & Redbridge led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Southend United and 1.50 for Dagenham & Redbridge.

What was the final score of Southend United vs Dagenham & Redbridge?

Southend United 1-1 Dagenham & Redbridge in the England - National League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Southend United vs Dagenham & Redbridge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Southend United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Southend United 43%, draw 26%, Dagenham & Redbridge 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Southend United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Southend United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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