Poole Town 1-3 Walton & Hersham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.09
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
40%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.51
Over 2.5
51%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.46
No
53%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
44%
-8.1pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.6pp
40%
Away Win
32%
+7.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
36%
+12.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
64%
-12.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
64%
-17.5pp
53%
BTTS No
36%
+17.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Poole Town EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Walton & Hersham EU Bookmakers 36%
-10% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.61/1.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.16
-3% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +37%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
401 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Poole Town vs Walton & Hersham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Walton & Hersham beat Poole Town 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (36% / 24% / 40%) promised a tight game; Walton & Hersham found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

What was the final score of Poole Town vs Walton & Hersham?

Poole Town 1-3 Walton & Hersham in the England - Non League Premier on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Poole Town vs Walton & Hersham?

Before kick-off our model rated an Walton & Hersham win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Poole Town 36%, draw 24%, Walton & Hersham 40%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Walton & Hersham), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Walton & Hersham) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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