Salisbury 3-1 Chesham United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 9 Mar 2024

Salisbury
3-1 HT 1-0
Chesham United
📅09/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
England - Non League Premier – 2023/2024

Salisbury vs Chesham United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.8
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
31%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.86
Over 2.5
53%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
32%
+12.3pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.7pp
31%
Away Win
41%
-9.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
50%
-3.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
50%
+3.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.5pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Salisbury v Chesham United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salisbury EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Chesham United EU Bookmakers 45%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +2%
0.91/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.46
-37% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +3%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
290 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.9

Salisbury vs Chesham United Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salisbury
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Chesham United
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.75
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.04.2023 Chesham United Chesham United 3-1 HT 0-0 Salisbury Salisbury İNGNLP
12.11.2022 Salisbury Salisbury 1-2 HT 1-1 Chesham United Chesham United İNGNLP
12.02.2022 Chesham United Chesham United 4-0 HT 0-0 Salisbury Salisbury İNGNLP
19.10.2021 Salisbury Salisbury 1-2 HT 0-0 Chesham United Chesham United İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Salisbury vs Chesham United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salisbury got the better of Chesham United 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Salisbury as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Chesham United led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Salisbury and 2.75 for Chesham United.

What was the final score of Salisbury vs Chesham United?

Salisbury 3-1 Chesham United in the England - Non League Premier on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salisbury vs Chesham United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salisbury win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Salisbury 45%, draw 24%, Chesham United 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Salisbury), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Salisbury) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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