Yverdon 3-2 Zürich — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.87
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
46%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.22
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.64
6+ Goals
7%
14.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 30% vs market 25.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
7.0
1/2
7%
24.45
1/X
6%
14.95
X/1
9%
8.92
X/2
15%
4.06
X/X
12%
4.75
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
24%
2.32
2/X
8%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
22%
+5.7pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.6pp
46%
Away Win
52%
-6.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+5.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-5.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.0pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yverdon EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Zürich EU Bookmakers 56%
+45% / +44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -20%
1.39/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.05
+84% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -27%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
226 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 75%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
12.0 Crosses 23.1
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yverdon
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Zürich
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.64 xG 1.38
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 10
281 Passes 301
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
8 Box Touches 24
6 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 1
04.02.2024 Yverdon Yverdon 3-0 HT 1-0 Zürich Zürich İSV
23.07.2023 Zürich Zürich 2-0 HT 1-0 Yverdon Yverdon İSV
26.10.2021 Yverdon Yverdon 2-2 HT 1-0 Zürich Zürich İSVK
06.05.2006 Zürich Zürich 4-1 HT 3-1 Yverdon Yverdon İSV
19.02.2006 Yverdon Yverdon 0-3 HT 0-1 Zürich Zürich İSV
04.12.2005 Zürich Zürich 1-1 HT 0-1 Yverdon Yverdon İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yverdon
3-2
AWAY Zürich
2.88 xG 2.77
36% Ball Possession 64%
14 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 4
120 Passes 319
52% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 29
12 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Yverdon vs Zürich
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yverdon edged past Zürich 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Zürich at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Yverdon had 36% of the ball to Zürich's 64%, shots finished 14-19, expected goals 2.88 to 2.77.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zürich led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Yverdon and 2.00 for Zürich.

What was the final score of Yverdon vs Zürich?

Yverdon 3-2 Zürich in the Switzerland - Super League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yverdon vs Zürich?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zürich win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Yverdon 28%, draw 26%, Zürich 46%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Zürich) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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