Gütersloh 1-1 Fortuna Köln — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.32
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
49%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.1
Over 2.5
45%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
6%
X/2
21%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
26%
-4.0pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.4pp
49%
Away Win
49%
+0.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
44%
+10.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
56%
-10.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.1pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gütersloh EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortuna Köln EU Bookmakers 53%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -7%
0.98/2.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/1.06
-24% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +12%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
274 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gütersloh
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Fortuna Köln
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
23.09.2023 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 3-0 HT 0-0 Gütersloh Gütersloh ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Gütersloh vs Fortuna Köln
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gütersloh and Fortuna Köln couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Fortuna Köln at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Gütersloh vs Fortuna Köln?

Gütersloh 1-1 Fortuna Köln in the Germany - Regional League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gütersloh vs Fortuna Köln?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fortuna Köln win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Gütersloh 23%, draw 28%, Fortuna Köln 49%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Fortuna Köln), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fortuna Köln) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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