Greuther Fürth II 0-1 Wacker Burghausen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
26%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.95
Over 2.5
46%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+0.9pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.3pp
26%
Away Win
30%
-4.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.9pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greuther Fürth II EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Wacker Burghausen EU Bookmakers 34%
-13% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -24%
1.70/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.59
+0% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +0%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
330 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greuther Fürth II
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Wacker Burghausen
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 4
19.09.2023 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen 1-0 HT 0-0 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II ALMBÖL
15.04.2023 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen 0-3 HT 0-1 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II ALMBÖL
24.09.2022 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II 2-2 HT 0-2 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen ALMBÖL
22.03.2022 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II 1-1 HT 1-1 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen ALMBÖL
21.08.2021 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen 1-4 HT 0-1 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II ALMBÖL
26.10.2019 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II 2-2 HT 1-2 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Greuther Fürth II vs Wacker Burghausen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wacker Burghausen nicked a narrow win over Greuther Fürth II 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Greuther Fürth II at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Greuther Fürth II had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Greuther Fürth II and 1.17 for Wacker Burghausen.

What was the final score of Greuther Fürth II vs Wacker Burghausen?

Greuther Fürth II 0-1 Wacker Burghausen in the Germany - Regional League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greuther Fürth II vs Wacker Burghausen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Greuther Fürth II win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Greuther Fürth II 44%, draw 30%, Wacker Burghausen 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Greuther Fürth II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Greuther Fürth II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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