Hessen Kassel 1-0 Hoffenheim II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.75
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
50%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.15
Over
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
42%
4-5
28%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
30%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
28%
Home Win
23%
+5.1pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.3pp
50%
Away Win
53%
-2.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.0pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hessen Kassel The Market 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Hoffenheim II The Market 57%
+24% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
1.51/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.38
+19% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -55% / -24%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
276 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hessen Kassel
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Hoffenheim II
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.09.2023 Hoffenheim II Hoffenheim II 2-1 HT 1-0 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel ALMBÖL
07.03.2023 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel 1-1 HT 1-0 Hoffenheim II Hoffenheim II ALMBÖL
07.08.2022 Hoffenheim II Hoffenheim II 2-0 HT 1-0 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel ALMBÖL
20.03.2022 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel 0-0 HT 0-0 Hoffenheim II Hoffenheim II ALMBÖL
28.09.2021 Hoffenheim II Hoffenheim II 2-0 HT 1-0 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel ALMBÖL
04.05.2021 Hoffenheim II Hoffenheim II 1-1 HT 0-0 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hessen Kassel
1-0
AWAY Hoffenheim II
34% Ball Possession 66%
5 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hessen Kassel vs Hoffenheim II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hessen Kassel edged past Hoffenheim II 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Hoffenheim II at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hessen Kassel had 34% of the ball to Hoffenheim II's 66%, shots finished 5-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hoffenheim II led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Hessen Kassel and 1.33 for Hoffenheim II.

What was the final score of Hessen Kassel vs Hoffenheim II?

Hessen Kassel 1-0 Hoffenheim II in the Germany - Regional League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hessen Kassel vs Hoffenheim II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hoffenheim II win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Hessen Kassel 28%, draw 22%, Hoffenheim II 50%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hoffenheim II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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