Mainz 05 II 0-1 Eintracht Frankfurt II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
29%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.29
Over 2.5
50%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.49
No
49%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
40%
+5.5pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.5pp
29%
Away Win
35%
-6.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
40%
+10.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
60%
-10.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
63%
-11.7pp
49%
BTTS No
37%
+11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mainz 05 II EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Eintracht Frankfurt II EU Bookmakers 39%
-11% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.72/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+6% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +49%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
377 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mainz 05 II
0-1
AWAY Eintracht Frankfurt II
55% Ball Possession 45%
4 Total Shots 2
1 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mainz 05 II vs Eintracht Frankfurt II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eintracht Frankfurt II squeezed past Mainz 05 II 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Mainz 05 II at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Mainz 05 II had 55% of the ball to Eintracht Frankfurt II's 45%, shots finished 4-2.

What was the final score of Mainz 05 II vs Eintracht Frankfurt II?

Mainz 05 II 0-1 Eintracht Frankfurt II in the Germany - Regional League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mainz 05 II vs Eintracht Frankfurt II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mainz 05 II win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Mainz 05 II 46%, draw 25%, Eintracht Frankfurt II 29%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mainz 05 II) ✗ BTTS Yes
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